Friday, August 12, 2011

U.S. stocks leap in another manic trading day


A drop in first-time jobless claims calmed nerves about the economy.


“In 2008 it felt apocalyptic; this just feels a little tiring,” said Jason Weisberg, a floor trader on the New York Stock Exchange and senior vice president at Seaport Securities

“It’s the new norm,” Alan Valdes, director of floor trade at DME Securities, said of the ongoing volatility.

After rising as much as 558.96 points, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ended up 423.37 points to 11,143.31, or 4% higher. The blue-chip index is now off 2.6% for the week, after four days of closing up or down 400 points or more.

 
For every stock that fell, a dozen gained on the New York Stock Exchange, where nearly 1.9 billion shares traded. Composite volume neared 7 billion.


“While the economy may not be getting better, jobless claims indicate that the labor market may not be getting worse,” said Dan Greenhaus, chief global strategist at BTIG LLC.


The Dow industrials on Monday tanked 634 points, only to rebound with a 429-point gain Tuesday. On Wednesday, the average fell 519 points in triple-digit moves reminiscent of Wall Street’s behavior during the financial crisis of late 2008.
 
“In 2008, the problem was a massive overhang of poorly understood, faulty mortgage-backed securities created and insured by U.S. financial institutions with virtually no reliable collateral,” noted Peter Morici, a business professor at the University of Maryland. “This time, the principal debtors are sovereigns with the capacity to tax and restructure debt.”

Tuesday, August 9, 2011

Investors lose a trillion dollars in one day


NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Investors lost a trillion dollars in the in the stock market Monday as the debt crisis in Europe, lackluster economic news and a downgrade to the U.S. credit rating spark fears of a double-dip recession.


The Wilshire 5000 Total Market Index, the broadest index of U.S. stocks, lost 891.93 points, or just over 7%, Monday. This represents a paper loss for the day of approximately $1.0 trillion.


Monday is the largest percentage drop for the Index since December 1, 2008 when it fell over 9%.
Since July 22, when Republicans abandoned debt negotiations with the White House for the third time that month, the index has lost $2.9 trillion in value.


Cynical investors, which could include any of the millions of Americans with pension plans, mutual funds or other retirement accounts, might be tempted to blame squabbling politicians in Washington for much of their ill fate. But experts say it's more complicated than that.



The Wilshire 5000 Total Market Index, a Broad index of U.S. stocks posts biggest drop since 2008, wiping out a big chunk of Americans' savings.





Clark said the prospect of Italy or Spain defaulting on their debt, scant consumer spending and concern about the overall economy are causing the sell off in stocks.


"It's just fear, everything together," he said. "It's not just Washington."


Clark believes the market is way oversold.


Stocks did rally after the last big sell off following the financial crisis of 2008. The Wilshire Index remains 84%, or $6.9 trillion higher than it was in March 2009. But it's still $4 trillion lower than the market's pre-crisis high in 2007.



"This is the culmination of 60 years of have-it-now policies," he said, referring the deficits Washington has been running for so long. "[The downgrade] would have happened one way or another."


Ablin wasn't quite as upbeat as Clark in predicting the next rally, noting that his bank moved 10% of its $60 billion in assets under management into cash last week.
"Values are cheap and expectations are low," he said. "But I don't see a catalyst just yet." 




Credits -cnn

Sunday, August 7, 2011

U.S Downgrade and Euro's Debt Crisis


HONG KONG (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar may weaken and Treasury yields rise when Asian markets reopen on Monday, though any selling in response to ratings agency S&P's downgrade of the United States is likely to be tempered by the escalating crisis in the euro zone.

The S&P cut in the U.S. long-term credit rating by a notch to AA-plus is an unprecedented blow and results from concerns about the nation's budget deficits and climbing debt burden. It called the outlook "negative," signalling another downgrade is possible in the next 12 to 18 months.


"The initial reaction will be a high degree of uncertainty and thus volatility since investors will not know where to turn for safety," said Mark Mobius, executive chairman of Templeton Emerging Markets group, in an email to Reuters.

"During the sub-prime crisis safety was in U.S. Dollars and U.S. Treasuries. Now that anchor to the global community is deteriorating," added Mobius, whose unit oversees $50 billion in emerging market assets.
Fears of a slide back into recession for the world's biggest economy prompted a global sell-off that wiped $2.5 trillion off company values over the past week, with consumer discretionary shares of firms dependent on external demand likely to be singled out for more punishment.

The fall in global share prices, as measured by the MSCI All-country World Index, was the biggest weekly decline since early October 2008, according to Thomson Reuters Datastream.

Market players warned the U.S. downgrade was likely to exacerbate a sharp contraction in risk appetite, and could see investors shift to the low-yielding Japanese yen and the Swiss Franc, despite market interventions from their respective authorities to weaken the currencies last week.

But they said fears that Europe's debt crisis could engulf core economies Spain and Italy, where sovereign debt yields have soared to 14-year highs, meant investors may still seek a safe-haven in the dollar, despite the U.S. woes.
Goldman Sachs strategists said there was a one-in-three probability of a U.S. recession due to the worsening European crisis, extension of payroll tax cuts and elevated levels of joblessness, despite a slight dip in the U.S. unemployment rate in July.

"Simply put, market sentiment appears acutely vulnerable given the build-up of concern on a sharper U.S. slowdown and speculation on the appropriate policy response and lingering fears stemming from the sovereign debt crisis in Europe," Citigroup strategists said in a note.

The benchmark MSCI all-country world stocks index fell to its lowest level since September 2010 last week, and has slumped more than 12 percent since late July.

The benchmark MSCI index of Asia Pacific ex-Japan stocks fell 8.7 percent last week.

Meanwhile, global leaders scrambled to discuss the U.S. sovereign rating downgrade and Europe's debt woes, and may issue a statement after a conference call, a Japanese government source said on Sunday.

Yields on benchmark U.S. ten-year treasury notes rebounded smartly to 2.56 percent on Friday but were not far away from a record low of near two percent hit during the throes of the global financial crisis.


Saturday, August 6, 2011

Warrants

Recently, I have joined the Macquarie Hotshot Contest.


It lasts for a month from 1 August till 30 August 2011. I thought it was a good experience and I definitely did enjoy it till now.


It has been a week now and I am proud to announce that I am currently ranked 7 in the student's category.




To see my name on a renowned website and contest is definitely satisfying. I was very happy to find out that I am rank 7 and that has motivated me to work hard for the next 3 weeks to perform the best I possibly can.


This has been an awesome learning experience. Reason being, it is hands-on.


We learn a lot of things in school but we often forget about it after 6 months. Why? Because it does not stick to us. It is only temporary. We learn ad we forget.


But, if we do it everyday, we will never forget. We become so in touch with the skill that we are so familiar with it.


Through this experience, I learnt to keep up with the global news. Before this contest, I always felt that it is very difficult to keep up with what's going on around the world. The professors always tells us to read the Business news, The Financial Times, but I always find it hard to consistently read them because of the workload in school.


However, through this contest, I realised that I have been keeping with what's happening around the world.


1. U.S raising the debt ceiling but still facing uncertain growth rate as the tax cuts are expiring soon

2. Italy and Spain might default on their debts and Europe is definitely in the dark right now.

3. China has $1 trillion investment in US debts and are very unhappy with the recent downgrade in the credit ratings by S&P

4. Asia stocks have been plummeting amidst fear of the uncertainty surrounding the West


By linking these 4 news together, you can make a lot of judgemnets and conclusions and I find that really amazing.


It is no longer difficult to read the news and I am able to understand them now. Having mastered the financial terms in school, I am able to put them into good use when I am analysing data online and also, I am able to make my own judgements on certain issues happening around the world.


From this warrant contest, I have learnt that by consistently following the news, it is actually quite easy to keep up with what's happening around the globe.


In fact, this is really what I want to do in the future, investment banking and that requires a lot of analysis, time and commitment. I am really happy that I am moving smoothly towards my goal and as the new school term is starting next week, I promise to keep up with the competition, the global news as well as my studies !

Friday, August 5, 2011

Asia markets plunge amid recession fears

Asian stock markets plummeted on Friday following carnage in the US and European markets over fears the world was heading towards another financial crisis.

Already-fragile investor confidence was hammered by more weak US economic data and a warning from the head of the European Commission that the eurozone debt crisis had likely spread to other economies.

"It's going to be a very ugly end to an even uglier week," IG Markets analyst Ben Potter said in Sydney, adding that all sectors were expected to take a battering.

Fear swept across Asia from Europe and the United States, where the Dow Jones Industrial Average suffered its worst one-day drop since December 2008 to close 4.3 percent lower at 11,383.68, erasing all this year's gains.

"We're seeing the erosion and now the loss of confidence, confidence in the economy, confidence in the market, confidence in the policy makers. It's all showing up," said US-based Hugh Johnson, of Hugh Johnson Advisors.

Weak jobs data out of the United States on Thursday fuelled concerns among some analysts that the world could be heading towards another recession following the 2008 financial crisis.

The US Labor Department reported that weekly claims for unemployment benefits remained at a high 400,000 last week.

Those figures followed data this week showing manufacturing growth in the United States, Europe and Asia had come to a virtual standstill.

"There is a deep concern about global growth and of the state of play in the United States in particular," said City Index analyst Giles Watts.

"Traders are growing increasingly concerned about a sharp slowdown in US economic activity in the third quarter."

Eyes will be on the United States later Friday when Washington releases key government jobs data and a weaker-than-expected result could lead to a further sell-off.

European Commission chief Jose Manuel Barroso on Thursday urged eurozone leaders to re-think their currency's financial defences, admitting debt contagion has now spread.

"It is clear that we are no longer managing a crisis just in the euro-area periphery," Barroso warned in a letter sent to the 17 eurozone leaders.

A July 21 deal on a second bailout for Greece worth $226 billion has failed to prevent sharply higher debt-risk premiums for Italy and Spain, the eurozone's third and fourth-largest economies.

His comments came as the European Central Bank announced it would resume emergency credit-easing measures, some of which were last enacted at the height of the financial crisis.

But the ECB's efforts still failed to restore confidence. The risk premium investors demand to buy Spanish 10-year bonds over safe-bet German debt shot back up to near a record high on Thursday.

The eurozone debt crisis has put Italy and Spain under huge pressure in recent weeks after Greece, Ireland and Portugal had to be bailed out by the European Union and the International Monetary Fund.

On currency markets the dollar held some of the gains it made against the yen Thursday after Tokyo stepped in to sell the Japanese unit as it edged towards a record high.

The greenback was at 78.43 yen, after rising close to 80 yen in the first few hours following Tokyo's intervention. However, some analysts said the possibility of a further intervention was supporting the dollar.

And Minister of State for Economic and Fiscal Policy Kaoru Yosano suggested more market action may follow, saying "it would be too hasty to think Thursday's intervention was a one-off measure".

However the euro slipped versus the yen as investors became more risk averse. The single currency fell to 111.05 yen from 111.27 yen in New York late on Thursday, while it gained to $1.4158 from $1.4100.

"The fear of a double-dip recession with the slowdown in the US and the sovereign debt situation in Europe is having everybody biting their nails," said Adam Sieminski, chief energy economist of Deutsche Bank.

New York's main contract, West Texas Intermediate light, sweet crude for delivery in September, was down $1.10 to $85.53 a barrel in afternoon trade after plunging $5.30, or 5.8 percent, in US trade Thursday.

It was the lowest closing price for WTI since February.

Brent North Sea crude for September delivery inched up four cents to $107.29 after falling $5.98, or 5.3 percent, in London trade.

"The economic data from the US look pretty disappointing, many investors wanted to get out of the markets in anticipation of recession," Samuel Securities economist Lana Soelistyaningsih said.

Tuesday, August 2, 2011

Sembcorp Marine's Q2 net profit down 15 pct

* Q2 net profit S$149.7 mln; Reuters f'cast S$183.5 mln
* Secured S$2.6 bln new orders in 2011, orderbook at S$5.7 bln
* Shares down 1.3 pct in 2011, underperforming Keppel, market

SINGAPORE, Aug 2 (Reuters) - Sembcorp Marine , the world's second largest rig builder, posted a worse-than-expected 15 percent fall in second quarter net profit, despite stronger margins.


The company, a unit of waste-processor to infrastructure conglomerate Sembcorp Industries , said it has secured S$2.6 billion ($2.2 billion) worth of new orders so far this year excluding ship repair jobs, taking its total orderbook to S$5.7 billion.


The new orders come after a massive slowdown in the past two years as a result of the global economic crisis and a world-wide disruption in offshore drilling after an accident in the Gulf of Mexico led to an environmental disaster.


"The fundamentals driving the offshore oil industry remain intact with exploration and production spending by oil majors and national oil companies expected to increase in 2011," the company said in a statement.


"As offshore rig demand continues to strengthen in most regions around the world, there is a need for technically advanced, versatile and efficient rigs that will address both the shallow and deepwater prospects."

The company said the lower net profit was mainly due to timing in recognition of rig building projects.


Its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) margin stood at 21.5 percent compared to 20.3 percent a year ago.


Chomp Chomp + Udders

Hi guys,

I'm officially a super fan of Chomp Chomp as I went there for 4 times in just 2 weeks!


Well, to me the food at Chomp Chomp is really good :) :)


After Chomp Chomp, we went straight to Udders for some Ice Cream.


I can't really remember e flavours.


But vaguely, they are awesomely chocolate, baileys ice cream, D24 Durian Ice Cream, etc.


Definitely a great place to chill and hang out :)


The photos are below 


Enjoy